Friday, April 24, 2009
too hot to blog?
My office is 250 m above sea level, and I usually walk up from the downtown floodplain. The walk starts at the river, heads through the main street of Santa Cruz, and then starts climbing. The climb involves numerous separate rises, each of which is one of the many marine terraces that have formed by the combination of the climactic changes of sea level and the 1 mm/year rise of the land around Santa Cruz.
The first rise takes me from the location of the first Mission Santa Cruz (which got flooded out) to the existing remnant of the mission. That site is now largely occupied by the large Catholic church and its school, with the surroundings converted to suburban neighborhood. The next several rises continue through the upscale neighborhoods which surround the springs which were the water supply for the old mission site. Above the neighborhoods is the meadow at the base of campus and the several terraces that it covers. In these were the first signs of the oncoming heat. The meadows are now covered with wildflowers, clover, and grasses. They are also full of active ground squirrels busily eating in preparation for giving birth to their babies.
Above the meadow begins the forest; it is a mix of bay, oak, redwood, and fir. Last Friday it was clear this would be a bad year for the oaks, for from the trees were hanging silky threads of the first generation of oak worms. They come down when it gets warm, they can go through several generations during a hot summer, and they can completely strip the oaks of all their leaves. Over the weekend it got hotter. By Monday it was difficult to walk through the forest without getting caught in multiple tangles of oak worm silks.
On Tuesday the high pressure system was centered over us. When the conditions turn hot and stagnant the ground squirrels tend to hide, for that is when the golden eagles command the sky. I often see them perched on the trees in the gulches. Several times they have surprised me as I walk up. They seem to like to swoop over the meadow about 2 m above ground, right about my eye level. They also seem to like to surprise me by doing that just behind me. It's disturbing to hear the rush of wind over the feathers and turn around to see a raptor whose wingspan is greater than my own.
But this Tuesday the eagle was more polite. As I walked up the eagle swooshed past me just in front of me. Having passed me heading east the eagle banked, casting its shadow upon me as I winced looking sunward. As I turned to track it the eagle swooped back over the pathway behind where I was, and then glided back to its perch on the dead top of a tree in the gulch.
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Obama Goes to Las Vegas
Obama is betting the store on massive government spending. Keynesian theory has never been tested in the real world, so it's the biggest gamble in world history. The economy's recovery may or may not be helped by this spending - time will tell - but the borrowed money must be paid back eventually. And since Obama is piling on top of that spending another trillion or so for social programs - with the revenues to pay for it to come from unspecified future taxes - he's acting like the teenager in the mall with a credit card. But it won't be the teenager's parents who will have to pay the bill; it will be the teenager's children, born and unborn. Is this the change voters wanted?
Monday, March 23, 2009
Naomi's retirement party
Among dad's things I found numerous photos, including this one. I also found a china plate with a pattern matching the one in front of me. Here's what I can say about this.
Location: The Pantry Restaurant, 718 Garden Street, Park Ridge, Illinois
Date: maybe 1966?
Occasion: Naomi's retirement party
The location was originally the house of artist Walter Clute. The web indicates that it is no longer in operation as a restaurant.
I note that it is barely 3 blocks from the ancestral house.
I'm pretty sure my brother was at home with a babysitter. I don't know if any of the other cousins were present. I don't know if this restaurant was special in some way, or why it was chosen, or anything else about who was there.
I appeal to our patriarch's memory for other particulars of this occasion.
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
staking claim for my name
Today I am reminded that I can't even maintain the association with my initials. Ever since I was in junior high school the initials SLA have been in the news.
Symbionese Liberation Army member Sarah Jane Olson is released from prison
Sri Lanka Army soldiers shoot civilians
Monday, March 16, 2009
the smell of money
Instead I look back, way back, still thinking of the economy, the state of the world, or something.
When Rome finally settled down after Nero, Vespasian was emperor. According to Suetonius he instituted a tax on urinals, but his son Titus complained. (Titus, who had sacked Jerusalem, burned Herod's temple, and would later become emperor.) With one of the tax coins in hand Titus admitted that it did not smell bad. In Latin classes this remains a teachable moment, for Vespasian concluded "Atqui, e lotio est" -- "yet it comes from urine."
From urine, from slavery, from just printing more, from whatever, the politicians seem more concerned with other issues than the origin of the cash flow.
Monday, March 9, 2009
what does he eat?
My basic tenet here is I don't think we should create life to enhance life and to do research and so forth.I love reductio ad absurdum, and it seems to me that this statement requires regressing to the hunter/gatherer stage of civilization. After all, even broadcasting seeds to attempt a bigger harvest is creating life, isn't it?
the economy
"If you believe," he shouted to them, "clap your hands; don't let Tink die."
Do you believe in dollars?
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
get a real blog
You know, I agree. The facebook status updates are on a par with twitter tweets. Their terseness invites unconsidered thoughts that are not fleshed out to explore their full meaning. The content of the blogs I read, and the ones to which I contribute, is very different than one-liners and silly images. Looking at lots of inputs from others is useful, but expressing thoughts and telling stories is what defines one's own self as something different and unique.
Okay, wait a minute, where did I learn about this? On facebook.
As with so much of life, it's how you use it. Yes, it is possible to use facebook with deliberation, but it's a lot easier with a real blog.
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
this is what reporting is about
Saturday, January 31, 2009
obscuring our patriarch's blog
I'm with Eric Berne
Monday, January 26, 2009
National Bankruptcy
Thursday, January 15, 2009
how's your weather?
I understand it's not so warm where some of you are.
I don't expect you can out do these folks.
failure of imagination
The same sorts of differential equations apply to economics. There can be relatively stable equilibrium, or there can be wild oscillations, it depends on the amount and type of regulation. Lack of regulation will often result in wild oscillations. Too much regulation may cause the extinction of one, or more, of the species. Regulations come from government, but government itself is subject to wild oscillations.
It's hard to reach equlibrium, especially when the conditions are evolving. It's harder when there are other populations which are not subject to regulation. It's harder still when there is more than one species of blood sucking fiend participating in the government policies, for they may not be interested in equilibrium at all.
The world is full of vampires, and some of them are us.
The Economy and Politicians
The following wasn't written by me, but it might have been:
To All My Valued Employees,
There have been some rumblings around the office
about the future of this company, and more
specifically, your job. As you know, the economy
has changed for the worse and presents many
challenges. However, the good news is this: The
economy doesn't pose a threat to your job. What
does threaten your job however, is the changing
political landscape in this country. However, let me
tell you some little tidbits of fact which might help
you decide what is in your best interests.
First, while it is easy to spew rhetoric that casts
employers against employees, you have to
understand that for every business owner there is a
Back Story. This back story is often neglected and
overshadowed by what you see and hear. Sure, you
see me park my Mercedes outside. You've seen my
big home at last years Christmas party. I'm sure; all
these flashy icons of luxury conjure up some
idealized thoughts about my life.
However, what you don't see is the BACK STORY:
I started this company 28 years ago. At that time, I
lived in a 300 square foot studio apartment for 3
years. My entire living apartment was converted into
an office so I could put forth 100% effort into
building a company, which by the way, would
eventually employ you.
My diet consisted of Ramen Pride noodles because
every dollar I spent went back into this company. I
drove a rusty Toyota Corolla with a defective
transmission. I didn't have time to date. Often times,
I stayed home on weekends, while my friends went
out drinking and partying. In fact, I was married to
my business -- hard work, discipline, and sacrifice.
Meanwhile, my friends got jobs. They worked 40
hours a week and made a modest $50K a year and
spent every dime they earned. They drove flashy
cars and lived in expensive homes and wore fancy
designer clothes. Instead of hitting the Nordstrom's
for the latest hot fashion item, I was trolling through
the discount store extracting any clothing item that
didn't look like it was birthed in the 70's. My friends
refinanced their mortgages and lived a life of luxury.
I, however, did not. I put my time, my money, and
my life into a business with a vision that eventually,
some day, I too, will be able to afford these luxuries
my friends supposedly had.
So, while you physically arrive at the office at 9
A.M., mentally check in at about noon, and then
leave at 5 P.M., I don't. There is no "off" button for
me. When you leave the office, you are done and
you have a weekend all to yourself. I unfortunately
do not have the freedom. I eat, and breathe this
company every minute of the day. There is no rest.
There is no weekend. There is no happy hour.
Every day this business is attached to my hip like a
1 year old special-needs child. You, of course, only
see the fruits of that garden -- the nice house, the
Mercedes, the vacations... you never realize the
Back Story and the sacrifices I've made.
Now, the economy is falling apart and I, the guy
that made all the right decisions and saved his
money, have to bail-out all the people who didn't.
The people that overspent their paychecks suddenly
feel entitled to the same luxuries that I earned and
sacrificed a decade of my life for.
Yes, business ownership has is benefits but the
price I've paid is steep and not without wounds.
Unfortunately, the cost of running this business,
and employing you, is starting to eclipse the
threshold of marginal benefit and let me tell you
why:
I am being taxed to death and the government
thinks I don't pay enough. I have state taxes.
Federal taxes. Property taxes. Sales and use taxes.
Payroll taxes. Workers compensation taxes.
Unemployment taxes. Taxes on taxes. I have to hire
a tax man to manage all these taxes and then guess
what? I have to pay taxes for employing him.
Government mandates and regulations and all the
accounting that goes with it, now occupy most of my
time. On Oct 15th, I wrote a check to the US
Treasury for $288,000 for quarterly taxes. You know
what my "stimulus" check was? Zero.. Nada. Zilch.
The question I have is this: Who is stimulating the
economy? Me, the guy who has provided 14 people
good paying jobs and serves over 2,200,000
people per year with a flourishing business? Or, the
single mother sitting at home pregnant with her
fourth child waiting for her next welfare check?
Obviously, government feels the latter is the
economic stimulus of this country.
The fact is, if I deducted (Read: Stole) 50% of your
paycheck you'd quit and you wouldn't work here. I
mean, why should you? That's nuts. Who wants to
get rewarded only 50% of their hard work? Well, I
agree which is why your job is in jeopardy.
Here is what many of you don't understand ... to
stimulate the economy you need to stimulate what
runs the economy. Had suddenly government
mandated to me that I didn't need to pay taxes,
guess what? Instead of depositing that $288,000
into the Washington black-hole, I would have spent
it, hired more employees, and generated substantial
economic growth. My employees would have
enjoyed the wealth of that tax cut in the form of
promotions and better salaries. But you can forget it
now.
When you have a comatose man on the verge of
death, you don't defibrillate and shock his thumb
thinking that will bring him back to life, do you? Or,
do you defibrillate his heart? Business is at the heart
of America and always has been. To restart it, you
must stimulate it, not kill it. Suddenly, the power
brokers in Washington believe the poor of America
are the essential drivers of the American economic
engine. Nothing could be further from the truth and
this is the type of change you can keep.
So where am I going with all this?
It's quite simple.
If any new taxes are levied on me, or my company,
my reaction will be swift and simple. I'll fire you. I'll
fire your co-workers. You can then plead with the
government to pay for your mortgage, your SUV,
and your child's future. Frankly, it isn't my problem
any more.
Then, I will close this company down, move to
another country, and retire. You see, I'm done. I'm
done with a country that penalizes the productive
and gives to the unproductive. My motivation to
work and to provide jobs will be destroyed, and with
it, will be my citizenship.
So, if you lose your job, it won't be at the hands of
the economy; it will be at the hands of a political
hurricane that swept through this country,
steamrolled the constitution, and will have changed
its landscape forever. If that happens, you can find
me sitting on a beach, retired, and with no
employees to worry about....
Signed, THE BOSS
Atlas is finally very much ready to shrug.
Monday, January 12, 2009
Plinian medicine, or Mushroom clouds
Locally we have a doctor Todd Mitchell who is in the news again today because of mushrooms. Two years ago he cut through FDA red tape to get a drug that inhibits the liver damage caused by poisonous mushrooms. He saved a family then, and he has just repeated that with another family. In Europe they have been using milk thistle extract to treat poisonings, but the drug is not approved in the US.
How is this all connected? Pliny the elder wrote Naturalis Historia, one of the earliest surviving examples of encyclopedic knowledge. In it he described the use of milk thistle.
Can we all reach the levels of the Plinys? Perhaps not, but we can aspire. We must.
Wednesday, January 7, 2009
Holman Jenkins and Madoff and Ponzi Schemes
If it's a bad decision, why wasn't it appealed? Because the lawyers for the bankrupt engaged in a scorched earth approach designed to make people give up and settle before their own legal fees bankrupted them. That reflects a major flaw in our American legal system. But it's a flaw that won't get corrected until we all wake up to the damage done by the trial lawyers in this country. What do you think the chances are for that to happen?